Global Macro Outlook AI

Macro intelligence MVP

demo

Central bank monitor

Monetary policy stance

Compares policy rates, inflation targets, real policy rates, yield-curve slope, and rule-based hawkish or dovish signals.

Live data are fetched from external sources. Demo and fallback data are illustrative or backup values and should be verified before research or investment use.

Policy rate

3.6%

U.S. proxy shown.

Demo data moduledemo2026-05AuditSources

Real policy rate

1.4%

Policy rate minus CPI.

Application calculation enginedemo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00calculatedAuditSourcesFormula

Yield-curve slope

0.8%

10-year yield minus policy rate.

Application calculation enginedemo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00calculatedAuditSourcesFormula

Rule-based signal

Balanced

Transparent heuristic, not a forecast.

Application calculation enginedemo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00calculatedAuditSourcesFormula

Policy-rate trend

Demo data moduledemo2026-05AuditSources
Demo data moduledemo2026-05AuditSources

10-year yield trend

Demo data moduledemo2026-05AuditSources
Demo data moduledemo2026-05AuditSources

Countries ranked by monetary tightness

Application calculation enginedemo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00calculatedAuditSourcesFormula
CountryLatestRisk scoreRegime
Canada

North America

6.1%
100High
Disinflationary growth
Brazil

Latin America

10.4%
100High
Disinflationary growth
Mexico

Latin America

11.0%
100High
Disinflationary growth
United Kingdom

Europe

5.0%
80.2High
Recession risk
Euro Area

Europe

4.1%
74Elevated
Slowdown
Germany

Europe

4.0%
73.4Elevated
Slowdown
India

South Asia

6.4%
71Elevated
Expansion
China

East Asia

3.1%
57.6Elevated
Expansion
United States

North America

3.6%
55.8Elevated
Disinflationary growth
Japan

East Asia

0.5%
35.9Watch
Fiscal stress
Research disclaimer: This dashboard is a research prototype and is not investment, financial, legal, tax, or trading advice. It is not an official forecast source. Live, demo, and fallback data may be mixed, and users must verify all values against official sources before using them for research, reporting, or decisions. Risk scores are rule-based model outputs and may be incomplete, stale, wrong, or unsuitable for any specific purpose.