Global Macro Outlook AI

Macro intelligence MVP

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Live data are fetched from external sources. Demo and fallback data are illustrative or backup values and should be verified before research or investment use.

Live data are fetched from external sources. Demo and fallback data are illustrative or backup values and should be verified before research or investment use.

Quality checks found 52 warnings or errors across 50 displayed records.
Freshness warnings: 0Metadata warnings: 0Demo/fallback warnings: 50

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IndicatorIndicator IDCountryValueUnitFrequencyDate/time periodSourceSource statusEndpointSeries IDFormula IDFormula summaryData statusLast updatedQuality warningsMissing-data ruleNotes / limitations
Real GDP growthGDP_GROWTHCanada0.91% y/yannual2025World Bank / national sources via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Real GDP growth is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Registered in INDICATORS and generated from the demo cache for country pages; live mappings exist through World Bank, OECD, IMF optional/secondary, and FRED where configured. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Headline CPI inflationCPICanada2.53% y/ymonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Headline CPI inflation is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Primary inflation input. Used in inflation pressure, real policy rate, nominal growth, regime rules, and CPI forecasts. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Unemployment rateUNEMPLOYMENTCanada5.98%monthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Unemployment rate is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Latest level is displayed in country profiles; four-period change feeds growth risk and recession-risk regime logic. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Policy ratePOLICY_RATECanada4.7%monthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Policy rate is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Short-rate proxy used directly and in real policy rate, yield-curve slope, monetary tightness, fiscal stress, and credit stress. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
10-year government yieldYIELD_10YCanada3.43%monthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • 10-year government yield is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Long-rate market signal. Demo market snapshot also displays a separate U.S. 10-year yield proxy. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Government debt-to-GDPDEBT_GDPCanada105.52% of GDPannual2025Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Government debt-to-GDP is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Used in fiscal stress and fiscal-monitor debt arithmetic. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Fiscal balanceFISCAL_BALANCECanada0% of GDPannual2025Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Fiscal balance is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Used as the available fiscal-balance or primary-balance proxy in debt arithmetic. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Current account balanceCURRENT_ACCOUNTCanada0% of GDPannual2025Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Current account balance is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Used in external vulnerability scoring and AI country reports. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
FX rate versus USDFX_USDCanada105.19indexmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • FX rate versus USD is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Indexed FX level. Higher values imply depreciation in the demo data and feed inflation/external vulnerability through FX change. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Crude oilOILCanada78.69USD/bblmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Crude oil is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed as oil price and used through oil delta in inflation and commodity-exposure scores. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Natural gasGASCanada111.12indexmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Natural gas is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed as a commodity chart; no explicit score coefficient was found in scoring.ts. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
CopperCOPPERCanada106.27indexmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Copper is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed as an industrial-cycle proxy; no explicit score coefficient was found in scoring.ts. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Food commodity indexFOODCanada119.56indexmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Food commodity index is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed as a food-pressure proxy. The current inflation score uses CPI, wage growth, oil delta, and FX delta; food has no explicit score coefficient. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Wage growthWAGE_GROWTHCanada4.36% y/ymonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Wage growth is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed in inflation tracker and used in inflation pressure scoring. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Private credit growthCREDIT_GROWTHCanada1.9% y/yquarterly2026-Q1Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Private credit growth is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed in credit cycle dashboard and used in credit stress scoring. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Non-performing loansNPLCanada0.68% of loansannual2025Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Non-performing loans is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Asset-quality proxy displayed and used in credit stress scoring. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
FX reservesRESERVESCanada98.31indexmonthly2026-05Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • FX reserves is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Displayed as reserve adequacy proxy and used through reserve change in external vulnerability scoring. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
External debtEXTERNAL_DEBTCanada116.52% of GDPannual2025Demo data moduledemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • External debt is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Included in external-vulnerability export data and used in the external vulnerability formula. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Gini coefficientGINICanada49.8indexannual2025World Bank / OECD / fallback metadata via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Gini coefficient is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.World Bank SI.POV.GINI is mapped as the preferred no-key live source. Coverage can be sparse by country and year. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Poverty ratePOVERTY_RATECanada49.8% of populationannual2025World Bank / OECD / fallback metadata via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Poverty rate is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.World Bank SI.POV.NAHC national poverty headcount ratio is mapped. National poverty lines are not always comparable across countries. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Top 1% income shareTOP_1_INCOME_SHARECanada49.8% of incomeannual2025WID.world placeholder / fallback metadata via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Top 1% income share is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.WID.world is listed as the preferred candidate, but no verified live series ID or API URL is mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Top 10% income shareTOP_10_INCOME_SHARECanada49.8% of incomeannual2025WID.world placeholder / fallback metadata via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Top 10% income share is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.WID.world is listed as the preferred candidate, but no verified live series ID or API URL is mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Wealth inequalityWEALTH_INEQUALITYCanada49.8Not explicitly defined in the current codebase.annual2025WID.world placeholder / fallback metadata via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Wealth inequality unit is not explicitly defined.
  • Wealth inequality is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Preferred source candidate is WID.world, but wealth concept, population universe, and exact series are not explicitly mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Labour shareLABOUR_SHARECanada49.8% of incomeannual2025OECD / national accounts placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Labour share is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.OECD or national-accounts source candidate exists, but exact dataflow and country coverage are not explicitly mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Median incomeMEDIAN_INCOMECanada49.8Not explicitly defined in the current codebase.annual2025OECD / national sources placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Median income unit is not explicitly defined.
  • Median income is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.OECD or national-source candidate exists, but equivalisation, currency basis, and exact series are not explicitly mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Real wage growthREAL_WAGE_GROWTHCanada49.8% y/yannual2025OECD / BLS / national sources placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Real wage growth is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.The app has nominal WAGE_GROWTH elsewhere. Real wage growth is not explicitly mapped to a live deflated wage series yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Household debtHOUSEHOLD_DEBTCanada50.07% of GDP or disposable incomequarterly2026-Q1BIS / OECD placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Household debt is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.BIS/OECD are listed as candidates, but the exact household-sector debt dataflow/key is not explicitly mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Housing affordabilityHOUSING_AFFORDABILITYCanada50.07index or ratioquarterly2026-Q1OECD / national sources placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Housing affordability is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Affordability can mean price-to-income, rent burden, or mortgage burden. Exact source concept is not explicitly mapped yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Human Development IndexHDICanada49.80-1 indexannual2025UNDP HDR placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Human Development Index is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.UNDP Human Development Reports is the preferred source candidate, but the live endpoint or bulk file is not integrated yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Inequality-adjusted HDIIHDICanada49.80-1 indexannual2025UNDP HDR placeholder via demo cachedemosrc/lib/demo-data.tslocal demo cacheN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Inequality-adjusted HDI is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.UNDP Human Development Reports is the preferred source candidate, but the live endpoint or bulk file is not integrated yet. Demo data is illustrative and should be verified before use.
Country nameCOUNTRY_NAMECanadaCanadatextstaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Country name is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata from constants.ts. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Country regionCOUNTRY_REGIONCanadaNorth AmericatextstaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Country region is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata; also used in geopolitical risk scoring. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Country currencyCOUNTRY_CURRENCYCanadaCADISO-like currency codestaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Country currency is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata displayed in country profile headings. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Central bankCOUNTRY_CENTRAL_BANKCanadaBank of CanadatextstaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Central bank is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata displayed in country profile headings. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Income groupCOUNTRY_INCOME_GROUPCanadaHigh incometextstaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Income group is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata used in geopolitical risk scoring. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Inflation targetCOUNTRY_INFLATION_TARGETCanada2%staticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Inflation target is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country policy target from constants.ts. Used as CPI fallback and in inflation scoring. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Commodity exposure classCOUNTRY_COMMODITY_EXPOSURE_CLASSCanadaexporterimporter/exporter/mixedstaticcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/AN/AN/Ademo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Commodity exposure class is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
No formula; direct source observation or static metadata.Static country metadata used by commodity-exposure scoring. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Country data modeCOUNTRY_DATA_MODECanadademolive/demo/fallback/degraded/unavailable/mapping-error/parser-error/network-error/blockedeventcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/ACOUNTRY_DATA_MODECountryMacroView reports the data mode from the live-first observation coverage summary after each mapped indicator is selected from live sources or demo fallback.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Country data mode is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If country code is invalid, getCountryMacroView returns undefined.Derived from the live-first country observation service. It reports live, fallback, or demo based on the selected observations and coverage summary. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Country data timestampCOUNTRY_DATA_TIMESTAMPCanada2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00ISO timestampeventcurrentCountry metadata registrydemosrc/lib/constants.ts::COUNTRIESN/ALATEST_VALUE_SELECTIONThe app selects the latest observation by sorting date strings and taking the last item.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Country data timestamp is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If no observation is found, latestObservation is undefined. latestValue then returns undefined.Derived from the latest observation lastUpdated timestamp. Static country metadata from the app registry.
Growth momentum scoreGROWTH_MOMENTUM_SCORECanada45.10-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Growth momentum score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from GDP, recent GDP average, and unemployment change. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Inflation pressure scoreINFLATION_PRESSURE_SCORECanada44.20-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Inflation pressure score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from CPI gap, wage-growth gap, oil delta, and FX delta. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Monetary tightness scoreMONETARY_TIGHTNESS_SCORECanada75.30-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Monetary tightness score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from real policy rate, yield-curve slope, and policy rate. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Fiscal stress scoreFISCAL_STRESS_SCORECanada44.20-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Fiscal stress score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from debt, fiscal balance, real policy rate, and nominal growth proxy. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Credit stress scoreCREDIT_STRESS_SCORECanada34.40-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Credit stress score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from credit growth, credit growth change, NPL ratio, and yield-curve slope. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
External vulnerability scoreEXTERNAL_VULNERABILITY_SCORECanada35.30-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • External vulnerability score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from current account, FX change, reserve change, and external debt. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Commodity exposure scoreCOMMODITY_EXPOSURE_SCORECanada27.10-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Commodity exposure score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from oil delta, country commodity exposure class, and CPI gap. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Geopolitical/structural risk scoreGEOPOLITICAL_RISK_SCORECanada300-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Geopolitical/structural risk score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Calculated in scoring.ts from income group, region, and external vulnerability. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Overall macro risk scoreOVERALL_RISKCanada430-100 scoremixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/ACLAMP_0_100All risk scores are bounded between 0 and 100.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Overall macro risk score is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
If the score is not finite, clamp returns the minimum value.Weighted combination of eight risk buckets in scoring.ts. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Macro regime classificationMACRO_REGIMECanadaExpansionclassification labelmixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/AREGIME_CLASSIFICATIONAssigns one macro regime by checking rules in order; earlier rules override later rules.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Macro regime classification is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
Missing GDP falls back to 0. Missing CPI falls back to country.inflationTarget. CPI and unemployment trend use deltaOverWindow, which returns 0 if insufficient data.Calculated by ordered rules in regime.ts. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.
Regime confidenceREGIME_CONFIDENCECanada0.66share or %mixed2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00Application calculation enginedemosrc/lib/format.ts, src/lib/scoring.ts, src/lib/forecasting.ts, and page-level calculationsN/AREGIME_CLASSIFICATIONAssigns one macro regime by checking rules in order; earlier rules override later rules.demo2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00
  • Regime confidence is labelled demo; verify before research or investment use.
Missing GDP falls back to 0. Missing CPI falls back to country.inflationTarget. CPI and unemployment trend use deltaOverWindow, which returns 0 if insufficient data.Static confidence value attached to each regime rule in regime.ts; displayed as percent. Calculated from demo observations in the current MVP pipeline.